Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.467158 17.959282 20.665998 23.816641 27.375345 31.262380 35.821087
2025-08-24 10.889966 14.206266 18.170952 23.223593 29.451233 36.833165 46.198413
2025-08-31 8.016241 11.503631 16.008313 22.173205 30.298212 40.538324 54.301465
2025-09-07 6.638753 10.307998 15.356461 22.670802 32.830886 46.255660 65.106863
2025-09-14 5.626924 9.373852 14.824735 23.122845 35.179026 51.756458 75.898720
2025-09-21 4.639730 8.272411 13.846020 22.735351 36.199913 55.401695 84.304715
2025-09-28 3.814176 7.262216 12.829115 22.106584 36.715028 58.259617 91.680188
2025-10-05 3.576479 7.176404 13.227657 23.664632 40.599008 66.223901 106.892378
2025-10-12 3.313157 6.995751 13.431279 24.900549 44.044342 73.718145 121.823944
2025-10-19 2.939998 6.548141 13.113170 25.213519 46.001065 79.015083 133.688364
2025-10-26 2.599887 6.103819 12.735977 25.364767 47.668077 83.917711 145.170757
2025-11-02 2.245108 5.566740 12.114196 25.001585 48.404266 87.330007 154.434434
2025-11-09 1.890879 4.990999 11.389624 24.460737 48.942500 90.712963 164.315426
2025-11-16 1.572514 4.434578 10.633389 23.792224 49.230585 93.768571 173.997817
2025-11-23 1.273036 3.851956 9.727945 22.709436 48.634539 95.234759 181.073052
2025-11-30 1.142266 3.656815 9.620954 23.215676 51.059119 102.131292 197.826345
2025-12-07 1.025115 3.470228 9.502650 23.676802 53.420689 109.045468 214.976626
2025-12-14 0.872328 3.147432 9.015949 23.281216 54.033480 112.783520 226.673527
2025-12-21 0.730132 2.816611 8.452933 22.639354 54.070272 115.422594 236.497744
2025-12-28 0.712909 2.866099 8.849221 24.229738 58.871891 127.367934 263.983626
2026-01-04 0.680203 2.858395 9.095656 25.491102 63.063538 138.359807 290.209860
2026-01-11 0.611678 2.713535 8.955707 25.810488 65.242770 145.541422 309.617777
2026-01-18 0.545114 2.557059 8.758684 25.964834 67.064009 152.105909 328.155883